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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2025Q1 - 臺北產經資訊網

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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2025Q1

Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2025Q1.

International Economic Outlook

According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2025: U.S. real GDP will grow by 2.3%, Japan's real GDP will grow by 1.2%, China's real GDP will grow by 4.6%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 1.0%.

Unit:%

2025 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
  IMF
2025.04
(2025.01)
UN
2025.05
(2025.01)
S&P Global
2025.05
(2025.04)
OECD
2025.03
(2024.12)
EIU
2025.05
(2025.04)
WB
2025.01
(2024.06)
2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026
Global 2.8 3.0 2.4 2.5 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.0 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.7
(3.3) (3.3) (2.8) (2.9) (2.2) (2.4) (3.3) (3.3) (1.9) (2.3) (2.7) (2.7)
USA 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.7 2.2 1.6 -0.1 1.0 2.3 2.0
(2.7) (2.1) (1.9) (2.1) (1.3) (1.5) (2.4) (2.1) (-0.1) (1.0) (1.8) (1.8)
JAPAN 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.9
(1.1) (0.8) (1.0) (1.2) (0.9) (0.6) (1.5) (0.6) (0.4) (0.5) (1.0) (0.9)
EURO 0.8 1.2 0.8 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.0 1.2
(1.0) (1.4) (1.1) (1.3) (0.7) (1.1) (1.3) (1.5) (0.9) (1.3) (1.4) (1.3)
CHINA 4.0 4.0 4.6 4.4 4.0 3.8 4.8 4.4 4.4 4.1 4.5 4.0
(4.6) (4.5) (4.8) (4.5) (3.8) (3.7) (4.7) (4.4) (4.4) (4.0) (4.1) (4.0)
WORLD
TRADE
1.7 2.5 1.6 2.3 - - - - 1.3 2.5 3.1 3.2
(3.2) (3.3) (3.2) (3.5) (-) (-) (3.6) (3.5) (2.9) (2.8) (3.4) (3.4)

Note:: ( ) advance estimate。
Source:

  1. IMF:World Economic Outlook ( April 22th 2025 )
  2. UN:World Economic Situation and Prospects of Mid-2025 ( May 15th 2025 )
  3. S&P Global ( May 17th 2025 )
  4. OECD:OECD Economic Outlook, Interim Report ( March 2025 )
  5. EIU:One-click Report : World ( May 21th 2025 )
  6. WB:Global Economic Prospects ( January 2025 )
  7. Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research

Taiwan Economic Overview

Key Domestic Economic Indicators in 2025Q1: The real GDP grew by 5.48%. The value of export orders reached US$149.47 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 12.11%. Total exports were valued at US$129.58 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.49%. The industrial production index and the manufacturing industry production index increased to 98.30 and 98.77, respectively, indicating a year-on-year increase of 11.95% and 12.79%.

Taiwan Econ Overview
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY
GDP (%) 2025Q1 5.48
Export Orders
(US$ billion)
2025Q1 149.47 ▲12.11%
Custom Exports
(US$ billion)
2025Q1 129.58 ▲17.49%
Industrial Production Index in Taiwan 2025Q1 98.30 ▲11.95%

Taipei Econ Overview

As of the end of March 2025, a total of 243,027 businesses were registered in Taipei City, reflecting an increase of 4,335 businesses compared to the previous year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.16%. The registered capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 15.48 trillion, which represents an increase of 4.34% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City was 891, indicating an annual decrease of 3.05%.

In terms of operational performance, Taipei City had 251,909 profit-seeking enterprises, which together generated a total revenue of NT$3.02 trillion—an annual increase of 6.12%. Specifically, the tertiary sector (services) recorded total sales of NT$2.44 trillion, representing an annual growth of 5.97%.

Regarding foreign investment, approved foreign investments in Taipei City totaled US$16.09 hundred million, marking a significant annual increase of 101.63%. Additionally, the number of newly established foreign-owned companies in Taipei City declined to 41, an annual reduction of 10.87%.

Taipei Econ Overview 
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY
Industry & Business Registration
(Number)
March 2025
(bottom value)
243,027 ▲1.16%
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ trillion)
March 2025
(bottom value)
15.48 ▲4.34%
Factory Registration
 (Number)
March 2025
(bottom value)
891  ▼3.05%
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise
(Number)
March 2025
(bottom value)
251,909 ▲1.24%
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income
 (NT$ trillion)
Jan.-Mar. 2025
(Cumulative value)
3.02 ▲6.12%
 Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ trillion)
Jan.-Mar. 2025
(Cumulative value)
2.44 ▲5.97%
 Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ hundred million)
Jan.-Mar. 2025
(Cumulative value)
16.09  ▲101.63%
 Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
 (Number)
Jan.-Mar. 2025
(Cumulative value)
41 ▼10.87%
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