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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2025Q4 - 臺北產經資訊網

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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2025Q4

Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2025Q4.

International Economic Outlook

According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the economic growth forecast for the world's major economies in 2026: U.S. real GDP will grow by 2.7%, Japan's real GDP will grow by 1.0%, China's real GDP will grow by 4.6%, the real GDP of the euro area will grow by 1.3%.

單位:%

2025 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart 
  IMF
2026.01
(2025.10)
UN
2026.01
(2025.09)
S&P Global
2026.02
(2025.01)
OECD
2025.12
(2025.09)
EIU
2026.02
(2026.01)
WB
2026.01
(2025.06)
2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026 2025 2026
GLOBAL 3.3
(3.2)
3.3
(3.1)
2.8
(2.5)
2.7
(2.5)
2.9
(2.9)
2.9
(2.7)
3.2
(3.2)
2.9
(2.9)
2.8
(2.8)
2.7
(2.7)
2.7
(2.3)
2.6
(2.4)
USA 2.1
(2.0)
2.4
(2.1)
1.9
(1.6)
2.0
(1.5)
2.2
(2.2)
2.7
(2.3)
2.0
(1.8)
1.7
(1.5)
2.1
(2.1)
2.3
(2.3)
2.1
(1.4)
2.2
(1.6)
JAPAN 1.1
(1.1)
0.7
(0.6)
1.2
(0.5)
0.9
(0.9)
1.1
(1.2)
1.0
(0.9)
1.3
(1.1)
0.9
(0.5)
1.2
(1.2)
0.8
(0.7)
1.3
(0.7)
0.8
(0.8)
EURO 1.4
(1.2)
1.3
(1.1)
1.4
(1.0)
1.1
(1.2)
1.5
(1.5)
1.2
(1.1)
1.3
(1.2)
1.2
(1.0)
1.4
(1.4)
1.3
(1.3)
1.4
(0.7)
0.9
(0.8)
CHINA 5.0
(4.8)
4.5
(4.2)
4.9
(4.9)
4.6
(4.4)
5.0
(5.0)
4.6
(4.6)
5.0
(4.9)
4.4
(4.4)
5.0
(5.0)
4.6
(4.6)
4.9
(4.5)
4.4
(4.0)
WORLD TRADE 4.1
(3.6)
2.6
(2.3)
3.8
(-)
2.2
(-)
-
(-)
-
(-)
4.2
(-)
2.3
(-)
2.2
(2.2)
1.8
(1.8)
3.4
(1.8)
2.2
(2.4)

Note:: ( ) advance estimate.
Source:

  1. IMF:World Economic Outlook(January 19th 2026)
  2. UN:World Economic Situation and Prospects(January 8th 2026)
  3. S&P Global(February 18th 2026)
  4. OECD:OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2025 Issue 2(December 2nd 2025)
  5. EIU:One-click Report:World(February 25th 2026)
  6. WB:Global Economic Prospects(January 13th 2026)
  7. Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.

Taiwan Economic Overview

Key Domestic Economic Indicators in 2025: The real GDP grew by 8.68%. The value of export orders reached US$743.73 billion, marking a year-on-year increase of 25.97%. Total exports were valued at US$640.75 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.92%. The industrial production index and the manufacturing industry production index increased to 112.16 and 113.12, respectively, indicating a year-on-year increase of 16.70% and 17.87%.

Taiwan Econ Overview
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY
GDP (%) 2025

8.68

Export Orders
(US$ billion)
2025 743.73 ▲25.97%
Custom Exports
(US$ billion)
2025 640.75 ▲34.92%
Industrial Production Index in Taiwan 2025 112.16 ▲16.70%

Taipei Econ Overview

As of the end of December 2025, a total of 244,584 businesses were registered in Taipei City, reflecting an increase of 2,038 businesses compared to the previous year, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.84%. The registered capital of enterprises in Taipei City reached 15.89 trillion, which represents an increase of 3.02% over the same period last year. The number of registered factories in Taipei City was 890, indicating an annual decrease of 0.22%.

In terms of operational performance, Taipei City had 254,385 profit-seeking enterprises, which together generated a total revenue of NT$19.41 trillion—an annual increase of 5.53%. Specifically, the tertiary sector (services) recorded total sales of NT$15.64 trillion, representing an annual growth of 4.82%.

Regarding foreign investment, approved foreign investments in Taipei City totaled US$85.16 hundred million, marking a significant annual increase of 105.16%. Additionally, the number of newly established foreign-owned companies in Taipei City declined to 177, an annual reduction of 9.23%.

Taipei Econ Overview 
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY
Industry & Business Registration
(Number)
Dec 2025
(bottom value)
244,584 ▲0.84%
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ trillion)
Dec 2025
(bottom value)
15.89 ▲3.02%
Factory Registration
 (Number)
Dec 2025
(bottom value)
890  ▼0.22%
The Number of the Profit-seeking Enterprise
(Number)
Dec 2025
(bottom value)
254,385 ▲1.02%
The Amount of the Profit-seeking Enterprise Income
 (NT$ trillion)
2025
(whole year)
19.41 ▲5.53%
 Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ trillion)
2025
(whole year)
15.64 ▲4.82%
 Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ hundred million)
2025
(whole year)
85.16  ▲105.16%
 Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
 (Number)
2025
(whole year)
177 ▼9.23%
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