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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2021Q3 - 臺北產經資訊網

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Summary of current season's economic situation analysis —2021Q3

Comprehensive analysis of the International Economic Outlook, Taiwan Economic Overview, and Taipei Econ Overview in the 2021Q3.

International Economic Outlook

According to EIU, IMF, OECD and other institutions to observe the performance of economic data in the third quarter of 2021: the annual GDP growth rate of the United States was 2.0 % , Japan's annual GDP growth rate declines by 3.6%, the annual GDP growth rate of the China was 4.9% ,the annual GDP growth rate of the Eurozone was 3.7%.

Unit:%

2021 Global Economic Growth Forecast Compiled Chart
  IMF
2021.10
(2021.07)
UN
2021.05
(2021.01)
IHS Markit
2021.11
(2021.10)
OECD
2021.12
(2021.09)
EIU
2021.11
(2021.10)
WB
2021.06
(2021.01)
region 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022 2021 2022
Global  5.9 4.9 5.4 4.1 5.5 4.2 5.6 4.5 5.4 4.0 5.6 4.3
(6.0) (4.9) (4.7) (3.4) (5.5) (4.3) (5.7) (4.5) (5.4) (4.1) (4.0) (3.8)
USA  6.0 5.2 6.2 3.2 5.5 4.3 5.6 3.7 5.5 3.8 6.8 4.2
(7.0) (4.9) (3.4) (2.7) (5.4) (4.3) (6.0) (3.9) (5.7) (3.8) (3.5) (3.3)
JAPAN  2.4 3.2 3.3 2.2 2.2 2.7 1.8 3.4 2.3 3.2 2.9 2.6
(2.8) (3.0) (3.0) (1.8) (2.3) (2.6) (2.5) (2.1) (2.3) (3.0) (2.5) (2.3)
EURO  5.0 4.3 4.2 3.9 5.1 3.7 5.2 4.3 4.9 4.3 4.2 4.4
(4.6) (4.3) (5.0) (2.6) (5.0) (4.0) (5.3) (4.6) (4.8) (4.3) (3.6) (4.0)
CHINA  8.0 5.6 8.2 5.8 8.1 5.5 8.1 5.1 7.9 5.3 8.5 5.4
(8.1) (5.7) (7.2) (5.8) (8.2) (5.7) (8.5) (5.8) (7.9) (5.3) (7.9) (5.2)

World Trade

9.7 6.7 9.4 5.7 - - 9.3 4.9 9.0 5.9 8.3 6.3
(9.7) (7.0) (6.9) (3.7) (-) (-) (-) (-) (9.0) (5.8) (5.0) (5.1)

Note:( )advance estimate.
Source:

  1. IMF:World Economic Outlook(October 12th 2021)
  2. UN:World Economic Situation and Prospects of mid-2021(May 11th 2021)
  3. IHS Markit:Economic Outlook(November 15th 2021)
  4. OECD:OECD Economic Outlook(December 1st 2021)
  5. EIU:EIU Country Forecast World December 2021(forecast closing date:November 15th 2021)
  6. WB:Global Economic Prospects(June  2021)
  7. Organized by the Department of Industrial Development of the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research.

Taiwan Economic Overview

Key domestic economic indicators for the third quarter of 2021:The real economic growth rate (GDP) is 3.70%.The export order volume reached a new high of US$ 171.71 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.71%.The export trade value reached a new high of US$ 117.153 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.13%. The industrial production index and manufacturing industry production index climbed to 136.44 and 137.96, respectively. This represents a year-on-year rise of 13.33% and 14.17%.

Taiwan Economic Overview
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY
GDP (%) 2021Q3 3.70
Export Orders
(US$ billion)
2021Q3 171.71 ▲21.71%
Custom Exports
(US$ hundred million)
2021Q3 1,171.53 ▲30.13%
Industrial Production Index in Taiwan 2021Q3 136.44 ▲13.33%

Taipei Econ Overview

As of the end of September 2021, a total of 238,624 businesses were registered in Taipei City. This number declines by 444 compared to the previous year, which represents a year-on-year declines of 0.19%. Firms registered in Taipei account for 14.47% of all businesses in Taiwan. The total registered capital of the Taipei City companies reaches13.4731 trillion, constituting 51.53%of the aggregate capital of all firms in Taiwan. 1,005 factories are currently registered in Taipei City, which is 32 less than last year.

The total actual number of companies and firms in Taipei City totals 240,946 had a sales volume of 9.5525 trillion in the third quarter of 2021, representing an increase of 11.43% compared to the previous year and accounts for 29.43% of the total sales volume of all Taiwanese businesses. The tertiary industry had a sales volume of 7.6686 trillion, making up 43.65% of the total sales of all tertiary businesses in Taiwan. Approved foreign investments in Taipei City amount to US$ 1520 million, a decrease by 15.51% over 2020Q3. This amount accounts for 73.15% of all foreign investments in Taiwan. 61 newly established foreign companies were registered in Taipei City, which is 7 less than in 2020Q3.

Taipei Econ Overview 
Indicator Statistical interval Data YoY Percentage of total for the whole country
Industry & Business Registration
(Number)
September
(bottom value)
238,624 ▼0.19%  14.47%
Total Capital of Companies Registered
(NT$ hundred million)
September
(bottom value)
134,731 ▲3.87%  51.53%
Factory Registration
 (Number)
September
(bottom value)
1,005 ▼32  1.01%
Number of Companies and Firms
(Number)
September
(bottom value)
240,946 ▲3,874 15.63% 
 Sales of Companies and Firms
 (NT$ hundred million)
Jan.–Sep.
(Cumulative value)
95,525 ▲11.43%  29.43%
 Sales of Tertiary Industry
(NT$ hundred million)
Jan.–Sep.
(Cumulative value)
76,686 ▲9.26% 43.65% 
  Foreign Direct Investment
(US$ million)
2021Q3 1,520  ▼15.51%  73.15%
 Number of Newly Established Foreign Companies
 (Number)
2021Q3 61  ▼7
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